If we want to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to start with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers plus some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be found if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your hard earned money from you and there are numerous inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in several ways talk about timing. The sooner the cost appears the much more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do plenty of research as soccer has now be a big earner for them. They have to do that since they are only too aware that the serious punters have become much shrewder in this particular market and will exploit any snippets of news that may allow them to have an edge. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in a few minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for the big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a high revenue turnover sport.
Such is the turnover on the rising IBO88 that Ladbrokes along with other such big bookmakers are prepared to have a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This really is clearly great news for the arb maker. Because of this the highest bets they will likely accept on a bet are many higher.
There are numerous types of soccer bets. Firstly there is the match winner. This is split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the initial goal scorer and also the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total numbers of yellow and red cards etc. In reality anything where odds can be set to will offer you a betting opportunity.
So which are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, you can find a lot of outcomes. The first goal scorer is a total waste of time too. Both these sorts of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the odds consistently being offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have too many possible outcomes. We are looking for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The best way to play the soccer market is to open up accounts with European bookmakers because the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. Both have strong opinions about this sport. They will price in the sport in their country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to create a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best about this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This can be great news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their own individual countries they are depending on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is within midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to have patriotic in terms of events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of the home team get talked up as well as the odds could get skewed within their favour as the weight of money is overly wagered in their direction.
With that in mind the big bookmakers present an early price, they will likely often advertise it within the national papers and generally stick with it. This means that a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may require a different opinion or try to tempt cash in their direction by providing different odds. If this type of would happen the arb may be around for a large amount of time.
You will always find discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick around the same price. They figure there is certainly safety in numbers. But remember these are ‘guessing’ just what the odds ought to be just like you and also me. These are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae however they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can have it wrong and other firms can have a totally different view of the result of a game. A totally different view is only going to result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be sufficient to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is first of all the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are protected by a number of different bookmakers throughout Europe. This does however put in a complication. Although quite simple for finding arbs, the mere fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw the possibility that you are likely to get spotted by the bookmakers in the event you concentrate your action here.
Also they will probably be unwilling to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You should weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
It is a fairly obscure part of betting and when someone would be to check your money over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on the account it may ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different form of sport and events as possible so that your accounts have varied bets to them. This shouldn’t become a problem as many different sports are great for sure bets.
The greater prominent European ties may also produce arbs plus they are less likely to attract awareness of you together with the utmost bets is going to be higher.
As before you cannot control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and thus 2 losing bets to 1 winning one can be useful on your account. The point is that not so many people are thinking about the lower European divisions and it also may become clear that this betting pattern is a bit unusual. This is especially valid in case your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. When a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and then he is definitely the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. But the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices because the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or will not have reacted in any way. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can serve as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the many soccer websites. Alternatively satellite television stations usually have comprehensive news coverage of all games and they are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all concurrently, only one after the other so creating sure bets.
In this scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new cost is one that wont change the old price is the one which is going to and so may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be all about timing. When chances are first produced or have reason to change then this arbs are much more likely to look.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for that total variety of bookings in a game. Some of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly yet others did not. This will change the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s glance at the red and yellow card market. In the event you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for any yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, by far the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a history of animosity involving the teams in which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this sort of bet will not figure strongly in your plans. Plus it is unusual to find information being issued that will affect the total bookings bet. But a basic bit of news like the plan for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to several arb. The actual final outcome is not really to expect a lot of sure betting activity from your issuing of red and yellow cards however it not so difficult to check the percentages.